Brazil Results

Synthetic Controls

Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.85 (0.75, 1.02)
1 0.77 (0.72, 0.82)
2 0.77 (0.72, 0.86)
3 0.79 (0.73, 0.89)
4 0.8 (0.68, 0.89)
5 0.78 (0.66, 0.92)
6 1.04 (0.78, 1.1)
7 1.12 (0.94, 1.41)
8 0.99 (0.88, 1.18)
9 0.76 (0.72, 0.94)

ITS

ITS Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.83 (0.64, 1)
1 0.71 (0.59, 0.82)
2 0.79 (0.68, 0.88)
3 0.86 (0.79, 0.91)
4 0.8 (0.74, 0.85)
5 0.86 (0.79, 0.93)
6 0.99 (0.92, 1.05)
7 1.04 (0.89, 1.16)
8 0.98 (0.9, 1.07)
9 0.77 (0.68, 0.83)

STL+PCA

STL+PCA Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.83 (0.76, 1.03)
1 0.76 (0.71, 0.86)
2 0.8 (0.73, 0.87)
3 0.76 (0.71, 0.9)
4 0.76 (0.69, 0.82)
5 0.82 (0.75, 0.93)
6 0.84 (0.75, 0.94)
7 0.96 (0.87, 1.05)
8 0.99 (0.91, 1.07)
9 0.78 (0.73, 0.94)

Inclusion Probabilities

Group Greatest Inclusion Variable Greatest Inclusion Probability Second Greatest Inclusion Variable Second Greatest Inclusion Probability Third Greatest Inclusion Variable Third Greatest Inclusion Probability
0 E00_99 1.0000000 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 ach_noj 0.4982576
1 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 E40_46 0.9999993 K00_99 0.1289816
2 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 E40_46 0.8655481 N39 0.3506498
3 K00_99 0.6026036 cJ20_J22 0.5598664 P00_99 0.5316111
4 pandemic 1.0000000 P00_99 0.6639353 K00_99 0.5825447
5 pandemic 1.0000000 A41 0.8678091 Z00_99 0.6021360
6 pandemic 1.0000000 E00_99 0.9133089 K35 0.2755095
7 E00_99 0.9877800 P00_99 0.4788179 cJ20_J22 0.3085363
8 A41 0.7602203 I00_99 0.5387038 H00_99_SY 0.2711395
9 cJ20_J22 1.0000000 E40_46 0.9685223 pandemic 0.1944668

Weight Sensitivity Analysis

Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 1 Inclusion Probability of Control 1 Control 1 Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 2 Inclusion Probability of Control 2 Control 2 Estimate (95% CI) Top Control 3 Inclusion Probability of Control 3 Control 3 Estimate (95% CI)
0 0.85 (0.75, 1.02) cJ20_J22 1 0.89 (0.7, 1.14) E00_99 1 0.89 (0.7, 1.08) M00_99 0.35 0.87 (0.67, 1.12)
1 0.77 (0.72, 0.82) cJ20_J22 1 0.75 (0.69, 0.9) E40_46 1 0.75 (0.68, 0.87) K00_99 0.13 0.79 (0.73, 1.01)
2 0.77 (0.72, 0.86) cJ20_J22 1 0.82 (0.75, 0.97) E40_46 0.87 0.81 (0.67, 0.96) N39 0.35 0.78 (0.67, 0.91)
3 0.79 (0.73, 0.89) K00_99 0.6 0.76 (0.71, 0.92) cJ20_J22 0.56 0.77 (0.65, 0.93) P00_99 0.53 0.75 (0.7, 0.91)
4 0.8 (0.68, 0.89) pandemic 1 0.72 (0.57, 0.82) P00_99 0.66 0.74 (0.64, 0.86) K00_99 0.58 0.74 (0.59, 0.85)
5 0.78 (0.66, 0.92) pandemic 1 0.64 (0.57, 0.79) A41 0.87 0.85 (0.73, 0.97) Z00_99 0.6 0.79 (0.66, 0.88)
6 1.04 (0.78, 1.1) pandemic 1 0.84 (0.69, 0.95) E00_99 0.91 0.85 (0.64, 0.97) K35 0.28 0.86 (0.68, 0.96)
7 1.12 (0.94, 1.41) E00_99 0.99 0.95 (0.81, 1.17) P00_99 0.48 0.97 (0.82, 1.25) cJ20_J22 0.31 0.92 (0.8, 1.29)
8 0.99 (0.88, 1.18) A41 0.76 1.08 (0.9, 1.22) I00_99 0.54 0.99 (0.84, 1.12) H00_99_SY 0.27 1 (0.87, 1.1)
9 0.76 (0.72, 0.94) cJ20_J22 1 0.75 (0.68, 0.97) E40_46 0.97 0.8 (0.67, 0.92) pandemic 0.19 0.78 (0.69, 0.88)

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